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Global type 1 diabetes cases projected to rise 29% by 2049, reaching 12.1 million

August 28, 2026

Source Summary

Research presented at the European Association for the Study of Diabetes annual meeting projects that the global type 1 diabetes population will grow from 9.4 million in 2025 to 12.1 million by 2049, an increase of 2.7 million people. Annual new cases are estimated to rise 14% over the same period.

Why it matters

The projected 29% increase in type 1 diabetes prevalence signals a growing global health burden that will require expanded healthcare resources and diabetes management infrastructure.

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