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Oil Traders Brace for Volatility as Brent Crude Approaches $120 Amid US-Iran Tensions

Source Summary

Oil prices are rising sharply, with ICE Brent crude trading around $118 per barrel and expected to post a 13-14% month-on-month increase ahead of US midterm elections. Escalating tensions between the US and Iran—including rising attacks in the Strait of Hormuz, reported explosions at Iran's Jask port, and military repositioning—are driving the rally despite ongoing mediation efforts by Qatar and Pakistan.

Why it matters

Escalating US-Iran hostilities threaten to disrupt global oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for international energy markets, directly affecting crude prices and energy costs worldwide.

What remains uncertain

The timing and scope of potential US-Iran hostilities remain unclear, as do the effectiveness of ongoing mediation efforts by Qatar and Pakistan.

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