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TotalEnergies Advances Oil Demand Peak Forecast to 2035–2040

Source Summary

TotalEnergies has revised its oil demand outlook, moving the peak forward from 2040 to between 2035 and 2040, according to its annual energy outlook released Monday. The company projects petroleum demand will plateau through the 2030s before declining slowly, with Chief Sustainability Officer Aurélien Hamelle noting that faster EV sales growth could accelerate the decline. TotalEnergies also stated that the Iran conflict could speed up the energy transition.

Why it matters

A major oil producer's accelerated timeline for demand peaking signals shifting market expectations for fossil fuel consumption and investment priorities in the energy sector.

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