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9th Circuit Court Rules Against Prediction Markets, Contradicting Earlier 3rd Circuit Decision

August 28, 2026

Source Summary

The 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that sports-related event contracts do not qualify as swaps under financial regulation. This decision contradicts an April ruling from the 3rd Circuit Court of Appeals on the same issue, creating a circuit split that may prompt Supreme Court review.

Why it matters

The conflicting rulings between federal circuit courts create legal uncertainty for prediction market operators and may force the Supreme Court to establish definitive national standards for how such contracts are regulated.

What remains uncertain

The source does not specify whether the Supreme Court will accept the case or when a decision might occur.

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